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Enhancing short-term traffic prediction by integrating trends and fluctuations with attention mechanism

Das, Adway, Sengupta, Agnimitra, Guler, S. Ilgin

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Traffic flow prediction is a critical component of intelligent transportation systems, yet accurately forecasting traffic remains challenging due to the interaction between long-term trends and short-term fluctuations. Standard deep learning models often struggle with these challenges because their architectures inherently smooth over fine-grained fluctuations while focusing on general trends. This limitation arises from low-pass filtering effects, gate biases favoring stability, and memory update mechanisms that prioritize long-term information retention. To address these shortcomings, this study introduces a hybrid deep learning framework that integrates both long-term trend and short-term fluctuation information using two input features processed in parallel, designed to capture complementary aspects of traffic flow dynamics. Further, our approach leverages attention mechanisms, specifically Bahdanau attention, to selectively focus on critical time steps within traffic data, enhancing the model's ability to predict congestion and other transient phenomena. Experimental results demonstrate that features learned from both branches are complementary, significantly improving the goodness-of-fit statistics across multiple prediction horizons compared to a baseline model. Notably, the attention mechanism enhances short-term forecast accuracy by directly targeting immediate fluctuations, though challenges remain in fully integrating long-term trends. This framework can contribute to more effective congestion mitigation and urban mobility planning by advancing the robustness and precision of traffic prediction models.


Creating awareness about security and safety on highways to mitigate wildlife-vehicle collisions by detecting and recognizing wildlife fences using deep learning and drone technology

Nandutu, Irene, Atemkeng, Marcellin, Okouma, Patrice, Mgqatsa, Nokubonga, Fendji, Jean Louis Ebongue Kedieng, Tchakounte, Franklin

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In South Africa, it is a common practice for people to leave their vehicles beside the road when traveling long distances for a short comfort break. This practice might increase human encounters with wildlife, threatening their security and safety. Here we intend to create awareness about wildlife fencing, using drone technology and computer vision algorithms to recognize and detect wildlife fences and associated features. We collected data at Amakhala and Lalibela private game reserves in the Eastern Cape, South Africa. We used wildlife electric fence data containing single and double fences for the classification task. Additionally, we used aerial and still annotated images extracted from the drone and still cameras for the segmentation and detection tasks. The model training results from the drone camera outperformed those from the still camera. Generally, poor model performance is attributed to (1) over-decompression of images and (2) the ability of drone cameras to capture more details on images for the machine learning model to learn as compared to still cameras that capture only the front view of the wildlife fence. We argue that our model can be deployed on client-edge devices to inform people about the presence and significance of wildlife fencing, which minimizes human encounters with wildlife, thereby mitigating wildlife-vehicle collisions.